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the tropics and the mid-latitudes. In the monsoon region, however, the models are unable to simulate the effect of local phenomena because these are highly variable and preclude averaging for a longer time frame, which is essential for long-range forecasting. However, their emphasis is slowly shifting and in the past 10 years, there has been considerable improvement in numerical weather The hottest product book lovers reading warm book stack all over printed tote bagprediction models. Taking their cue from the West, where the first mathematical models were developed, and using equations to represent atmospheric and oceanic circulations, Indian scientists have been working on monsoon models based on both regional and general circulation. But these methods, called synoptic because they summarise and analyse such data as winds, eddies, temperature and moisture, can provide predictions that are valid for only a few hours or at the most, a day or two. In fact, all too often, by the time a reasonable pattern is deciphered, the conditions would have changed. Because of the complex and global factors involved, predicting the weather accurately necessitates providing meteorologists with a complete breakdown of

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