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on these rivers for domestic and agricultural water resources. Climate change may mean the Indus and Ganges become increasingly seasonal rivers, ceasing to flow during the dry season (Kehrwald et al. 2008). Combined with a rising population this means that water scarcity in the region would be expected to The hottest product the elephant with mandala version all over printed slippersincrease in the future. Figure 7 shows the projected changes in monthly river-flow for the 2020s and 2050s for selected key rivers of interest in this context. In some rivers such as the Nile, climate change increases flow throughout the year which could confer benefits to agriculture. However, in other catchments, e.g. the Ganges, the increase in run-off comes as an increase in peak flow around the monsoon. However, dry season river-flow is still very low. Without sufficient storage of peak season flow, water scarcity may affect agricultural productivity despite overall increases in annual water availability. Increases at peak flow may also cause damage to crop lands through flooding. In climate-modelling studies, Burke et al. define drought as the 20th percentile of the PDSI distribution over time, for pre-industrial conditions; this definition is

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