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anticipate any extensive destruction of the physical capital on which resumed output growth will depend, and no purpose to expect employees to lose expertise and information. Everyone – together with economists themselves – jokes about economic forecasting failures. But the intrinsic difficulties are compounded for the worldwide economic businesses, particularly the International Monetary Fund and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. At the identical time, avoiding the demise of small businesses and sectors critical to livelihoods such as tourism is also vital to make sure regional stability, in order not to completely derail the development trajectory that had been underway. The cruise ships may not be welcome now. But in the months and years forward, the dollars these vacationer can deliver might be important to recovery from the doubtless life-threatening economic impacts of a pandemic long after the health impacts are handled. The focus presently in Australia is appropriately on the home response to the unfolding health and economic crisis. But Australia’s long-standing abroad aid program additionally has a critical function to play in supporting the response within the area. That begins with

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